Chasing Data Centers? Here’s the Map — By Trade.

Everyone is chasing data centers right now.

From hyperscale campuses making headlines to smaller upgrades quietly entering bid, the category feels like a single, massive opportunity. But treating “data centers” as one market is a mistake—and an expensive one for business development teams.

Because this market isn’t moving in one direction or on one timeline.
It’s fragmenting by trade, scope, risk, and timing.

Some firms should be pursuing work immediately.
Others should be positioning carefully—and waiting.
A few should not be spending pursuit dollars at all yet.

What follows is not a list of projects. It’s a pursuit map: a trade-by-trade framework for deciding what to chase, when to engage, and when discipline matters more than optimism.

HVAC CONTRACTORS

Pursue now: Institutional upgrades and retrofits

The most reliable HVAC opportunities in the data center market today are not hyperscale campuses. They are existing facilities with immediate reliability needs.

These include:

  • CRAC replacements and supplemental cooling
  • Full HVAC system replacements
  • Temporary-to-permanent cooling transitions
  • Universities, hospitals, airports, and federal facilities

Why this work is real:

  • Scopes are defined
  • Budgets are allocated
  • Failures are already occurring
  • Owners cannot tolerate downtime

These projects reward firms that understand redundancy, phasing, live-facility work, and commissioning coordination—not just equipment.

Watch carefully: Hyperscale campuses

Large campuses will matter, but HVAC firms should engage selectively and conservatively until:

  • Power delivery is confirmed
  • Cooling topology is specified
  • Early enabling or shell packages are released

Until then, these are future opportunities, not near-term backlog.

HVAC takeaway:
2026 revenue will come from upgrades and retrofits. Campuses remain a positioning exercise.

BAS / CONTROLS INTEGRATORS

Pursue now: Institutional and municipal upgrades

Controls are quietly embedded in many active projects:

  • HVAC + BAS combined scopes
  • Energy monitoring upgrades
  • Federal and municipal reliability initiatives

These projects favor integrators who can:

  • Demonstrate system integration maturity
  • Support operational visibility
  • Navigate owner IT and cybersecurity constraints

This is not commodity controls work—it’s infrastructure modernization.

Position early: Large campuses

Mega-campuses with energy narratives (on-site generation, hydrogen, grid-interactive strategies) will eventually require sophisticated control architectures.

Engage early as:

  • Advisors
  • Concept-level architects
  • Integration strategists

Avoid early pricing or competitive bidding until scope hardens.

Controls takeaway:
Monetize retrofit work now. Treat campuses as relationship investments, not sales targets.

ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS

Pursue aggressively: Power upgrades and distribution

Electrical contractors are among the most consistently well-positioned trades right now.

Active opportunities include:

  • UPS replacements
  • Switchgear and distribution upgrades
  • Redundancy improvements
  • Airport, healthcare, and federal facilities

These owners understand risk, schedule, and compliance—and procurement paths are usually formal and predictable.

Selective pursuit: Campuses

Campus opportunities become real only when:

  • Substations are announced
  • Utility interconnects are approved
  • Early power packages are released

Until then, electrical firms should monitor, not chase.

Electrical takeaway:
Follow confirmed power, not speculative megawatts.

CIVIL / SITE CONTRACTORS

Best positioned trade (mid-term)

Civil and site contractors are often the first true beneficiaries of large data center campuses.

Why:

  • Site work precedes vertical construction
  • Design certainty is lower, but land and utilities move first
  • Enabling packages unlock real dollars early

This includes:

  • Grading and paving
  • Utilities and stormwater
  • Environmental mitigation
  • Site access and infrastructure

Timing matters

Engage when:

  • Zoning is resolved
  • Permits advance
  • Environmental filings surface

Avoid overcommitting pursuit resources before land and approvals are locked.

Civil takeaway:
Campuses are real—but only once the dirt starts moving.

FIRE SUPPRESSION / LIFE SAFETY

Pursue now: Regulated environments

Fire suppression firms are well positioned in:

  • Hospitals
  • Universities
  • Federal facilities
  • Live-facility retrofits

Clean agent systems and code-driven upgrades are often explicitly scoped and face limited competition from qualified bidders.

Position later: Campuses

Suppression scopes typically lag building shell and interior layouts. Early pursuit on campuses is premature without rack density and floor plans.

Suppression takeaway:
Compliance-driven urgency beats speculative scale.

COMMISSIONING / TESTING / QA FIRMS

High-value, underappreciated opportunity

Commissioning firms are increasingly critical in:

  • Live-facility upgrades
  • Redundancy validation
  • Shutdown coordination
  • Federal and healthcare environments

These projects cannot tolerate failure—and fewer firms can credibly operate in them.

Strategic positioning: Campuses

Commissioning should enter early as:

  • Risk mitigation advisors
  • Redundancy strategists
  • Operational validation partners

Avoid positioning commissioning as a late-stage checkbox.

Commissioning takeaway:
This is becoming a decision driver, not an afterthought.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — THE PURSUIT MAP

Trade Best Near-Term Focus Campus Strategy
HVAC Retrofits, CRAC replacements Wait for power + scope
BAS / Controls Institutional upgrades Advisory positioning
Electrical UPS, switchgear, distribution Follow substations
Civil / Site Enabling and infrastructure work Engage early
Suppression Healthcare & federal upgrades Enter late
Commissioning Live-facility modernization Thought leadership

AIM Insight

The biggest mistake firms will make in the next 12–24 months is chasing data centers as a single market.

The smarter move is disciplined:

  • Monetize upgrades and modernization now
  • Position thoughtfully for campuses
  • Align pursuit timing with trade reality

Mega-projects shape the future.
Retrofits, infrastructure, and execution discipline pay the bills.

For more information or help in chasing, contact AIM.

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Methodology Note

This analysis is based on a review of 21 U.S. data center–related construction projects updated between February 6–9, 2026, sourced from publicly available project tracking and procurement records. Project stages (planning, bidding, post-bid, construction underway), estimated values, scopes, and timelines reflect the most recent disclosures available at the time of review. Aggregate dollar values are rounded and intended to illustrate order-of-magnitude activity rather than forecast outcomes. Trade-level observations are derived from stated scopes (e.g., HVAC, electrical, BAS, site work, suppression) and the presence or absence of bid dates, permitting milestones, and power or zoning confirmations. Interpretive conclusions reflect market structure and timing signals observed across the dataset and are not projections or guarantees of award, start date, or final project scope.

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