Chasing Data Centers? Here’s the Map — By Trade.
Everyone is chasing data centers right now.
From hyperscale campuses making headlines to smaller upgrades quietly entering bid, the category feels like a single, massive opportunity. But treating “data centers” as one market is a mistake—and an expensive one for business development teams.
Because this market isn’t moving in one direction or on one timeline.
It’s fragmenting by trade, scope, risk, and timing.
Some firms should be pursuing work immediately.
Others should be positioning carefully—and waiting.
A few should not be spending pursuit dollars at all yet.
What follows is not a list of projects. It’s a pursuit map: a trade-by-trade framework for deciding what to chase, when to engage, and when discipline matters more than optimism.
HVAC CONTRACTORS
Pursue now: Institutional upgrades and retrofits
The most reliable HVAC opportunities in the data center market today are not hyperscale campuses. They are existing facilities with immediate reliability needs.
These include:
- CRAC replacements and supplemental cooling
- Full HVAC system replacements
- Temporary-to-permanent cooling transitions
- Universities, hospitals, airports, and federal facilities
Why this work is real:
- Scopes are defined
- Budgets are allocated
- Failures are already occurring
- Owners cannot tolerate downtime
These projects reward firms that understand redundancy, phasing, live-facility work, and commissioning coordination—not just equipment.
Watch carefully: Hyperscale campuses
Large campuses will matter, but HVAC firms should engage selectively and conservatively until:
- Power delivery is confirmed
- Cooling topology is specified
- Early enabling or shell packages are released
Until then, these are future opportunities, not near-term backlog.
HVAC takeaway:
2026 revenue will come from upgrades and retrofits. Campuses remain a positioning exercise.
BAS / CONTROLS INTEGRATORS
Pursue now: Institutional and municipal upgrades
Controls are quietly embedded in many active projects:
- HVAC + BAS combined scopes
- Energy monitoring upgrades
- Federal and municipal reliability initiatives
These projects favor integrators who can:
- Demonstrate system integration maturity
- Support operational visibility
- Navigate owner IT and cybersecurity constraints
This is not commodity controls work—it’s infrastructure modernization.
Position early: Large campuses
Mega-campuses with energy narratives (on-site generation, hydrogen, grid-interactive strategies) will eventually require sophisticated control architectures.
Engage early as:
- Advisors
- Concept-level architects
- Integration strategists
Avoid early pricing or competitive bidding until scope hardens.
Controls takeaway:
Monetize retrofit work now. Treat campuses as relationship investments, not sales targets.
ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS
Pursue aggressively: Power upgrades and distribution
Electrical contractors are among the most consistently well-positioned trades right now.
Active opportunities include:
- UPS replacements
- Switchgear and distribution upgrades
- Redundancy improvements
- Airport, healthcare, and federal facilities
These owners understand risk, schedule, and compliance—and procurement paths are usually formal and predictable.
Selective pursuit: Campuses
Campus opportunities become real only when:
- Substations are announced
- Utility interconnects are approved
- Early power packages are released
Until then, electrical firms should monitor, not chase.
Electrical takeaway:
Follow confirmed power, not speculative megawatts.
CIVIL / SITE CONTRACTORS
Best positioned trade (mid-term)
Civil and site contractors are often the first true beneficiaries of large data center campuses.
Why:
- Site work precedes vertical construction
- Design certainty is lower, but land and utilities move first
- Enabling packages unlock real dollars early
This includes:
- Grading and paving
- Utilities and stormwater
- Environmental mitigation
- Site access and infrastructure
Timing matters
Engage when:
- Zoning is resolved
- Permits advance
- Environmental filings surface
Avoid overcommitting pursuit resources before land and approvals are locked.
Civil takeaway:
Campuses are real—but only once the dirt starts moving.
FIRE SUPPRESSION / LIFE SAFETY
Pursue now: Regulated environments
Fire suppression firms are well positioned in:
- Hospitals
- Universities
- Federal facilities
- Live-facility retrofits
Clean agent systems and code-driven upgrades are often explicitly scoped and face limited competition from qualified bidders.
Position later: Campuses
Suppression scopes typically lag building shell and interior layouts. Early pursuit on campuses is premature without rack density and floor plans.
Suppression takeaway:
Compliance-driven urgency beats speculative scale.
COMMISSIONING / TESTING / QA FIRMS
High-value, underappreciated opportunity
Commissioning firms are increasingly critical in:
- Live-facility upgrades
- Redundancy validation
- Shutdown coordination
- Federal and healthcare environments
These projects cannot tolerate failure—and fewer firms can credibly operate in them.
Strategic positioning: Campuses
Commissioning should enter early as:
- Risk mitigation advisors
- Redundancy strategists
- Operational validation partners
Avoid positioning commissioning as a late-stage checkbox.
Commissioning takeaway:
This is becoming a decision driver, not an afterthought.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — THE PURSUIT MAP
| Trade | Best Near-Term Focus | Campus Strategy |
| HVAC | Retrofits, CRAC replacements | Wait for power + scope |
| BAS / Controls | Institutional upgrades | Advisory positioning |
| Electrical | UPS, switchgear, distribution | Follow substations |
| Civil / Site | Enabling and infrastructure work | Engage early |
| Suppression | Healthcare & federal upgrades | Enter late |
| Commissioning | Live-facility modernization | Thought leadership |
AIM Insight
The biggest mistake firms will make in the next 12–24 months is chasing data centers as a single market.
The smarter move is disciplined:
- Monetize upgrades and modernization now
- Position thoughtfully for campuses
- Align pursuit timing with trade reality
Mega-projects shape the future.
Retrofits, infrastructure, and execution discipline pay the bills.
For more information or help in chasing, contact AIM.
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Methodology Note
This analysis is based on a review of 21 U.S. data center–related construction projects updated between February 6–9, 2026, sourced from publicly available project tracking and procurement records. Project stages (planning, bidding, post-bid, construction underway), estimated values, scopes, and timelines reflect the most recent disclosures available at the time of review. Aggregate dollar values are rounded and intended to illustrate order-of-magnitude activity rather than forecast outcomes. Trade-level observations are derived from stated scopes (e.g., HVAC, electrical, BAS, site work, suppression) and the presence or absence of bid dates, permitting milestones, and power or zoning confirmations. Interpretive conclusions reflect market structure and timing signals observed across the dataset and are not projections or guarantees of award, start date, or final project scope.